لا يمكن أن تعطي الأيام الثلاثة الأولى مؤشراً جيداً عن مسار القتال في أوكرانيا. ومع ذلك ، تشير النتائج الأولية إلى أن مدينة خاركيف قد استعصت على الروس حتى اليوم. يعتقد البعض أن سقوط أوكرانيا سيكون في غضون أيام ، وهذا ليس دقيقًا ، بالنظر إلى حجم الجيش الأوكراني. تعود أسباب هذا الاعتقاد إلى الصورة الإعلامية التي روّجها بوتين حول قدرات الجيش الروسي.
ويشير أيضًا إلى أن الخطة الروسية الأولية تتطلب استخدام Blitzgrig سريعًا ، وهبوطًا بالمظلة في عمق مناطق الجيش الأوكراني ، من أجل
حصار العاصمة والسيطرة على مطاراتها
فصل شرق أوكرانيا عن غرب أوكرانيا عن طريق السيطرة على خط خاركيف - ديبرو - مليتوبول.
عزل أوكرانيا عن البحر الأسود
As soon as possible, time is not in Putin's favor. The longer the battles last, the more he will drain and pump more troops, equipment, and money, and the more he is isolated and doubts his capabilities in front of those who believe in the Putinist legend. The West will drain it for this purpose, not for Ukraine itself, but to make its mission in Ukraine very difficult, to curb its ambitions that may go beyond Ukraine later. So far, the Russians have not put their full force into the attack, and the Russians may have expected that limited numbers of their army would be able to turn the scales quickly, with their belief that there are large proportions of Ukrainians waiting for them with flowers. The forces he has amassed near the border (130 thousand soldiers) to speed up the process, and this means that Putin will gamble with his entire army in Ukraine soon, to ensure the success of his plan.
On the other hand, the West is preparing to make its mission difficult, and this may increase the chances of the battlefield spreading beyond Ukraine, if it is proven to Russia that NATO countries are militarily participating in Ukraine’s battles.
عندما يضع بوتين جيشه بكامل قوته خلال الأيام القليلة المقبلة ، سيتضح بشكل أوضح كيف ستتكشف المعركة ، والتي من المتوقع أن تستمر كحرب عصابات ، وبسبب عدم تناسق الجيشين ، وبسبب رغبة الغرب في ذلك. منع انهيار أوكرانيا.
Ruspa took control of the towns of Kherson, Melotopol, Chernobyl and Sumy
Battles continue for control of Nikolaev, Kharkiv, Mariupol.
Russian forces are trying to control Kharkiv and then besiege Dibro from the north and south, to cut off supply lines, in addition to isolating eastern Ukraine from the Black Sea.
After taking control of Nikolaev, it is expected that the focus will be on Odessa
Announcing the losses of the Russians, since the start of the invasion until today:
- 14 planes - 8 helicopters- 102 tanks- 536 armored vehicles - 1 Sam Bock More than 3,500 dead
About 200 prisoners
Yesterday, Biden threatened that America would intervene if Russia attacked the territory of a NATO member state.
Biden was referring specifically to the Baltic states and Poland (within NATO), so the support of Poland and the Baltic states for Ukraine (or for a subsequent guerrilla war in Ukraine) would be an excuse for the Russians to complete the Russian plan to restore control of the Baltics and possibly parts of Poland
Today the Russians are massing on Poland, it may not be time to attack the Baltic states and Poland, but the scenario can develop there after Ukraine, and this is exactly what Biden warned of
لا نعتقد ان الحرب في اوكرانيا ستبقى داخل حدود اوكرانيا وستتجاوزها في المراحل القادمة والله العليم.
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